Santorum, Um No
08-17-2009
You may recall that back in June I made the bold prediction that Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour would not be the Republican nominee for president in 2012. My post was in response to a spate of articles in the media touting Barbour as a rising presidential contender. I am now prepared to go out on a limb once again and predict that former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum also will not be the Republican nominee for president in 2012.
 
This time, I am responding to an item I came across last week, which reported that Santorum is planning a series of campaign-style visits to Iowa this fall. The article begins by suggesting that we add Santorum to the list of potential 2012 Republican presidential candidates, but it is honestly difficult to view him as a serious contender for the party’s nomination. While Santorum is noncommittal about any presidential ambitions, he is at least open about his desire to be a bigger player in conservative politics, and he seems especially eager for the larger media megaphone that can accompany visits to places like Iowa and New Hampshire.
 
The reality, however, is that this is mainly yet another headache for former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, as he tries to defend the ground upon which he built his victory in the 2008 Iowa Caucus. Last month, I wrote about Huckabee’s passive-aggressive behavior toward former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, and now with Santorum also about to become more active among social and religious conservatives in the state, there is the potential for an even greater fragmentation of the party’s conservative base in Iowa.


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